Empires rarely fall in one stroke. It is a process that can take time.
May 7, 2024 is the seven month anniversary of the valiant Al-Aqsa Flood operation. It also marks the seventh month of the zionist entity’s genocide against the Palestinian people. Such a situation may seem hopeless, but hope is being renewed as emergent events in global geopolitics come to a boiling point and point towards a common verdict: we may truly and finally see the end of the zionist occupation in Palestine.
The colonial project that was born and continues the Nakba of 76 years ago will soon be but a distant memory.
But let’s step back a little.
The Nethanyahu government is becoming deeply unpopular in the zionist entity. Not because people want a ceasefire — they want the eradication of Gaza and Palestinians — but because they feel Nethanyahu is incapable of carrying this out to their satisfaction. Some facets of zionist society think the genocide has been enacted too boldly and attracted too much international criticism. Others think the zionist retribution for October 7th hasn’t been harsh enough. Some think Netanyahu should have avoided provoking Iran and Yemen, while others still think he hasn’t done enough to engulf the region in war.
What they do not know, what they can’t ideologically grasp, is there is simply no way they can answer the Al Aqsa Flood Operation. Genocide is out of the question; no genocide in the history of human society has ever been successfully carried out to completion. There are always survivors who tell the stories, who keep the identity alive. They have tried to forcibly relocate Palestinians to Egypt, but the crossing remains closed. They have tried to starve Gaza, but food aid is gradually making its way in.
It must be clear to the zionist entity that their plan of simply bombing Gaza from afar until no one is left is not going to go anywhere. Life endures. After seven months of fighting, while they have killed an appalling number of Palestinians in Gaza, with death toll estimates ranging from 40,000 – 200,000, Hamas (and the resistance at large) have only lost 10% of their capabilities — as relayed by Ayatollah Khameinei.
Six months on, the zionists were forced to pull their troops out of Gaza. They have taken such heavy and demoralizing losses that they had no choice but to withdraw and reorganize their ranks. Although the zionists called this a tactical retreat, battlefield footage and even mainstream journalism have chipped away at this hasty rationale. The myth of the occupation’s “invincible” army has been completely shattered, both domestically and internationally. To the occupier’s further humiliation, Hamas performed missile strikes from previously occupied areas, confirming that they still have their capabilities intact, and that the invaders have not achieved any significant military objectives.
It has always been a stated goal of the Resistance to force the colonizers to reckon with the pipe dream of occupation. Today, the zionist entity’s reputation is shattered. To many people around the world, it has become a pariah state, synonymous with the Nazis. Before, you could still find plenty of people on the fence, who dared not judge or make an opinion. These have largely stopped existing. The entire world is now aware of the plight of the Palestinians, which has been going on for over 76 years, and the masses in their millions side with them. There is more support for Palestine since October 7 than there has been in the entire history of its struggle against occupation.
The Nethanyahu government is reckoning with a global loss of popular support. It tries to appear strong, but is internally in crisis. Around the world, zionist politicians are being hounded and disrupted by activists every time they step outside. More and more of these politicians, including high-ranking officials such as Biden or Pelosi, now say they support a ceasefire. This is not believable of course, but it does represent a change from last year, when they rabidly defended the zionist state even in the face of genocide. The tides are turning. Companies supporting the genocide in any capacity are being vandalized and boycotted.
The zionist entity is getting desperate to finish what they started, but are steadily being made to realize that this is impossible. Residents of the settler state feel things are not moving and demand action. It is this desperation that leads them to commit major mistakes.
On April 1, the zionists struck the Iranian embassy in Syria, and on April 10, they targeted and killed three of Hamas political chairman Ismail Haniyeh’s sons, as well as three of his grandchildren (aged below 10). These are not the actions of a winning state.
A basic tenet of military strategy is that the winning side has time on its side, and can usually afford to be patient, while the losing side must make increasingly desperate attacks.
Dragging a new contender into a war is not an act a winning state does. The goal of the colonial project has always been complete masterdom over the Arab peninsula, but that requires them to secure Palestine first — which is far from achieved. To get into a second war, to open another front at this time, is a desperate gambit that tests the limits of American support for its imperialist outpost and is simply foolish. A basic tenet of military strategy is that the winning side has time on its side, and can usually afford to be patient, while the losing side must make increasingly desperate attacks. For an example of this, look at how Russia is methodically crawling into Ukraine, while the Ukrainians attempt drastic and doomed large scale attacks.
This act was inviting Iran to retaliate. We have seen (and of course the zionists have as well) that Iran is capable of a sufficiently powerful response. To see such a response, one only has to look to 2020: at the beginning of the year, Iran struck a U.S. military base in Iraq heavily, shelling it for hours, as a response for the U.S.’ assassination of General Qassem Soleimani. Iran indeed retaliated on April 14, targeting occupation military sites with an estimated 200 to 300 missiles and suicide drones. Under this heavy fire, a colonial alliance — the U.S., U.K., France, and Jordan — intervened in defense of the zionist entity. But the coalition failed to sufficiently curb the attack, and zionist bases were pounded by explosions amidst cheers from beleaguered Palestinians and anti-zionists around the world.
Iran, by employing fairly standard missiles and drones, demonstrated little more on their part than a willingness to attack. Their full capabilities remain veiled. The occupation, on the other hand, was not only forced to reveal its dependence on imperialist powers, but the woeful inadequacy of their combined air defenses was on full display.
Since Iran’s response, the U.S. has been dragging its feet and shows it is unwilling to enter a war against Iran. While Congress does keep voting to pour military support towards the zionist colonial entity, the State Department has been hard at work trying to calm down Iran ever since the strike on April 1 and, once it happened, then switched to dissuading “Israel” from retaliation. Blinken instead wanted the colonial entity to accept the loss and move on, unequivocally distancing the empire from both the act and its potential escalation.
The gambit did not pay off. The occupation was unable to bring U.S. boots on the ground. Events continue to unfold unabated as they have done for the past six months. Now, the zionists threaten a ground invasion of Rafah, in a final but futile effort to exterminate the Palestinian people once and for all, or at least invokes a resistance response great enough to draw the U.S. directly into the fray.
In Yemen, Ansarallah has been handed everything on a silver platter: a coalition of ~20 countries that was supposed to restore shipping lanes in the Red Sea all but collapsed before it began. The U.S. is now offering their enemy huge concessions, thereby tacitly admitting defeat. They are now seeking diplomatic solutions and have offered Ansarallah to repair the damages incurred during their long civil war against the U.S.-backed Saudis and UAE, remove foreign forces from all occupied Yemeni lands and islands, remove Ansarallah from the State Department’s “terrorism list,” and recognize them as the legitimate government of Yemen. This is an unprecedented capitulation for the United States. Never before have they offered such a deal to an enemy they were at war with.
Ansarallah immediately refused this deal and remains steadfast in their support of Palestine. As they have loudly declared from the first day of their naval operation: their sole condition for lifting the blockade in the Strait of Bab El Mandeb is the end of the genocide in Gaza.
The genocide they are waging requires heavy investment in terms of manpower and money, most of which are not making it back.
Ansarallah’s actions have been highly damaging to the zionist entity. The zionist economy, for example, has been shrinking in 2024 and is finding it difficult to attract investment. This is not surprising; the genocide they are waging requires heavy investment in terms of manpower and money, most of which are not making it back. Businesses are decoupling and leaving the colony due to the wartime insecurity, and investment from foreign capital is going down.
To the zionist entity’s north, Lebanon’s Hezbollah is also making the zionists sweat. One of Hezbollah’s most notable qualities is their strategic calculus. Having mastered guerilla strategy in their successful resistance against previous zionist invasions, such as the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War, they do not act rashly, but wait for the right time to intervene. Recall what I said above, about which side of a conflict tends to be the patient one! They have been ramping up their missile strikes on the northern colonies in the past weeks, hinting at a coming escalation. As their capabilities have only improved since the last time they defeated the zionists, they represent another existential threat on the zionist entity’s doorstep.
Hezbollah has not yet entered direct confrontation with the zionists beyond border skirmishes late last year. They are ready for war, should it come to that, and we can be sure that there is a coordinated effort between all participants in this international resistance. All know their place, and it is unlikely that any action (such as the Hezbollah missile barrage that preceded Iran’s retaliation a few days before) happens without the knowledge and approval of other nations.
Empires rarely fall like a house of cards, in one swoop. It takes time and crises. I believe, from observing the events outlined above, that we are seeing this crisis for the imperial outpost “Israel.” A crisis so deep, from which there is simply no way out. A crisis that will lead to their end. The resistance sees this as well, and that is (one) reason they are not declaring all-out war on the zionists by invading from Lebanon, Syria, and Iran. The conditions are there, but they need time to unfold.
Now, even more pressure is being placed on the occupation, this time from within the very confines of the Empire itself. With the eruption of hundreds of student protests against their own universities’ financial entanglement and profiteering from zionism, the geriatric ghoul in the White House is forced to make difficult choices: violently crush the student movement in baldfaced defense of the zionist outpost, and commit political suicide by doing so, or permit the boycott and divestment of the academic establishment from the zionist entity, a potential loss of hundreds of millions of dollars, to exacerbate the zionist’s financial ruin.
For the first time in months, I am hopeful again. I am hopeful for Palestine and for the human race. I am hopeful for the resistance, the student movement, and the overthrow of the U.S.-Canadian Empire to come. It has been seven months of pure hell in Gaza, a hell which I thought had been abolished, never to revive after 1945. But, I know that as soon as the genocide stops in Gaza, it will all look like just a bad dream. As the Resistance escalates its actions, so too must the movement here organize and escalate so that Palestine may finally awaken from its 76 year long nightmare.
